COVID-19 Forecasts: Cases: Nov. 25, 2020

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated Nov. 25, 2020 ; Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases ; • This week, CDC received forecasts of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next 4 weeks from 25 modeling groups that were included in the ensemble forecast. ; • This week’s national ensemble forecast predicts that 1,100,000 to 2,500,000 new cases will likely be reported during the week ending December 19, 2020. ; • Over the last several weeks, more reported cases than expected have fallen outside of the forecasted prediction intervals. This suggests that current forecast prediction intervals may not reflect the full range of future reported case numbers. Forecasts for new cases should be interpreted accordingly.
• Subjects:
  • Coronavirus Infections
  • COVID-19
  • Forecasting
  • Hospitalization
  • Pandemics
  • Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/97825/cdc_97825_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 236.38 KB]
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:1236f718bdfec808f49015a57f0bc600bbd711be1caa0a5ed28d31f9e7747b36bd291363d0b2b12b3f9812ab2b7524df50b539748debb1b6a22a35c279c588bd