COVID-19 forecasts : cases

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COVID-19 forecasts : cases

Nov. 25, 2020
By National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
Series: Coronavirus Disease 2020 (COVID-19)

[PDF-236.38 KB]

English

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Details:

Corporate Authors:

National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
Description:

Updated Nov. 25, 2020

Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases

• This week, CDC received forecasts of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next 4 weeks from 25 modeling groups that were included in the ensemble forecast.

• This week’s national ensemble forecast predicts that 1,100,000 to 2,500,000 new cases will likely be reported during the week ending December 19, 2020.

• Over the last several weeks, more reported cases than expected have fallen outside of the forecasted prediction intervals. This suggests that current forecast prediction intervals may not reflect the full range of future reported case numbers. Forecasts for new cases should be interpreted accordingly.
Subjects:

[+]

Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Hospitalization Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
Series:

Coronavirus Disease 2020 (COVID-19)
Document Type:

Webpage
Place as Subject:

United States
Collection(s):

Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library collection
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:7c7b5603fb7b993c1b3b78a7521c5e18ce124b1a04b277a70c22af7df17302a9
Download URL:

https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/97825/cdc_97825_DS1.pdf
File Type:

forecasts-cases.html

htm

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