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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations
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Sept. 17, 2020
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Description:Updated Sept. 17, 2020
Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
• This week, two national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next four weeks, one forecast predicts a likely decline, and three forecasts are uncertain about the trend or predict stable numbers. For October 12, the forecasts estimate 1,300 to 5,500 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day.
• State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing.
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Content Notes:Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
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