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COVID-19 forecasts : cases
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Sept. 17, 2020
[PDF-347.86 KB]
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Description:Updated Sept. 17, 2020
Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases
• This week CDC received forecasts of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next 4 weeks from 29 modeling groups.
• This week’s national ensemble forecast indicates an uncertain trend in new COVID-19 cases reported over the next four weeks and predicts that 150,000 to 310,000 new cases will likely be reported during the week ending October 10, 2020.
• The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next four weeks, the number of new reported cases per week may decrease in 14 states and territories, which are labeled on the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported cases are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.
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Content Notes:Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
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