COVID-19 forecasts : deaths : updated Aug. 13, 2020

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Up-to-Date Info: To find the latest CDC information on this topic go to: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html

COVID-19 forecasts : deaths : updated Aug. 13, 2020

Aug. 13. 2020
By National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
Series: Coronavirus Disease 2020 (COVID-19)

[PDF-441.65 KB]

English

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Details:

Corporate Authors:

National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
Description:

Observed and forecasted new and total reported COVID-19 deaths as of August 10, 2020.

Interpretation of Forecasts of New and Total Deaths

• This week CDC received forecasts of national COVID-19 deaths over the next 4 weeks from 31 modeling groups. Of the 31 groups, 29 provided forecasts for both new and total deaths and two provided forecasts for total deaths only.

• This week’s national ensemble forecast predicts that 4,200 to 10,600 new COVID-19 deaths will be reported during the week ending September 5 and that 180,000 to 200,000 total COVID-19 deaths will be reported by that date.

• State- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that the number of reported new deaths per week may increase over the next four weeks in Colorado and may decrease in Arizona, the Northern Mariana Islands, Vermont, and Wyoming.
Content Notes:

National Forecast -- State Forecasts -- Modeling Groups.
Subjects:

[+]

Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
Series:

Coronavirus Disease 2020 (COVID-19)
Document Type:

Webpage
Place as Subject:

United States
Collection(s):

Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library collection
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:c24ad7faf8659c0e94da6761eee0a544de7b5e89d4c0e3a304859c897e83beb0
Download URL:

https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/91967/cdc_91967_DS1.pdf
File Type:

forecasting-us.html

htm

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