COVID-19 Forecasts: Cases: January 20, 2021

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated Jan. 20, 2021
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases
  
  • This week, CDC received forecasts of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next 4 weeks from 25 modeling groups that were included in the ensemble forecasts.
  
  • This week’s national ensemble predicts that 1,100,000 to 2,000,000 new cases will likely be reported in the week ending February 13, 2021.
  
  • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next 4 weeks, the number of new reported cases per week will likely decrease in 1 jurisdiction, which is indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported cases are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Hospitalization Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:c1a1113781f640453a3b5630c4e04a3b8fc5a3b7fc0af6d7e3b36df9c30474d2d81d2f0362ca32d0dca10b23845c52a2c0aa1c83288e315f7c9dff8ce17197ac
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/100834/cdc_100834_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 341.29 KB ]