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COVID-19 forecasts : cases
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January 20, 2021
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Description:Updated Jan. 20, 2021
Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases
• This week, CDC received forecasts of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next 4 weeks from 25 modeling groups that were included in the ensemble forecasts.
• This week’s national ensemble predicts that 1,100,000 to 2,000,000 new cases will likely be reported in the week ending February 13, 2021.
• The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next 4 weeks, the number of new reported cases per week will likely decrease in 1 jurisdiction, which is indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported cases are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.
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