COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations
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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations

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Details:

  • Corporate Authors:
    National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
  • Description:
    Updated Jan. 20, 2021

    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations

    • This week, CDC received forecasts of daily, new reported COVID-19 hospital admissions over the next 4 weeks from 13 modeling groups that were included in the ensemble forecasts.

    • This week’s national ensemble predicts that 9,300 to 21,000 new confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions will be reported February 15, 2021.

    • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next 4 weeks, the number of daily confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions will likely increase in 2 jurisdictions and decrease in 17 jurisdictions, which are indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported hospital admissions are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.

    • In previous weeks, all submitted forecasts were displayed, even if they were not included in the ensemble forecasts. Starting this week, only forecasts meeting a set of inclusion criteria are shown for jurisdictions with ensemble forecasts. Further details are available here: https://covid19forecasthub.org/doc/ensemble/

  • Content Notes:
    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
  • Subjects:
  • Series:
    Coronavirus Disease 2020 (COVID-19)
  • Document Type:
    Webpage
  • Place as Subject:
    United States
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  • Main Document Checksum:
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  • File Type:

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