COVID-19 forecasts : deaths
Advanced Search
Select up to three search categories and corresponding keywords using the fields to the right. Refer to the Help section for more detailed instructions.

Search our Collections & Repository

For very narrow results

When looking for a specific result

Best used for discovery & interchangable words

Recommended to be used in conjunction with other fields



Document Data
Clear All
Clear All

For additional assistance using the Custom Query please check out our Help Page



Up-to-date Information

Up-to-Date Info: To find the latest CDC information on this topic go to:

COVID-19 forecasts : deaths

Filetype[PDF-557.91 KB]



  • Corporate Authors:
  • Description:
    Updated Jan. 20, 2021

    Observed and forecasted new and total reported COVID-19 deaths as of January 18, 2021.

    Interpretation of Forecasts of New and Total Deaths

    • This week, CDC received forecasts of COVID-19 deaths over the next 4 weeks from 37 modeling groups that were included in the ensemble forecasts. Of the 37 groups, 32 provided forecasts for both new and total deaths, two groups forecasted total deaths only, and three forecasted new deaths only.

    • This week’s national ensemble forecast predicts that 17,000 to 29,300 new deaths will likely be reported in the week ending February 13, 2021. The national ensemble predicts that a total of 465,000 to 508,000 COVID-19 deaths will be reported by this date.

    • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next 4 weeks, the number of newly reported deaths per week will likely increase in 3 jurisdictions and decrease in 3 jurisdictions, which are indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported deaths are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.

  • Content Notes:
    National Forecast -- State Forecasts -- Ensemble Forecast -- Forecast Assumptions.
  • Subjects:
  • Series:
  • Document Type:
  • Place as Subject:
  • Collection(s):
  • Main Document Checksum:
  • Download URL:
  • File Type:

Supporting Files

More +

Related Documents

You May Also Like

Checkout today's featured content at