COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations
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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations
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  • Description:
    Updated Dec. 2, 2020 • This week, CDC received forecasts of daily, new reported COVID-19 hospitalizations over the next 4 weeks from 12 modeling groups. • Four national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next 4 weeks, one forecast predicts a likely decrease, and four forecasts are uncertain about the trend or predict stable numbers. For December 28, the forecasts estimate 2,300 to 23,000 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day. • State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing.
  • Content Notes:
    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
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