COVID-19 Forecasts: Cases: Nov. 19, 2020

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated Nov. 19, 2020
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases
  
  • This week CDC received forecasts of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next 4 weeks from 25 modeling groups.
  
  • This week’s national ensemble forecast indicates an uncertain trend in new COVID-19 cases reported over the next four weeks and predicts that 810,000 to 2,300,000 new cases will likely be reported during the week ending December 12, 2020.
  
  • Over the last several weeks, more reported cases than expected have fallen outside of the forecasted prediction intervals. This suggests that current forecast prediction intervals may not reflect the full range of future reported case numbers. Forecasts for new cases should be interpreted accordingly.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Hospitalization Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:83e2201a2a1a92da11bcec804a11e54612e631eb4a859bb72e2e211933df1a90bead3a637e73524350ea66a80930bf4e82019cdc706c996018b7c86a4ce5acdf
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/97596/cdc_97596_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 684.86 KB ]