COVID-19 Forecasts: Hospitalizations: Nov. 13, 2020

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated Nov. 13, 2020
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
  
  • This week CDC received forecasts of daily, new reported COVID-19 hospitalizations over the next 4 weeks from 9 modeling groups.
  
  • Three national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next four weeks, one forecast predicts a likely decrease, and two forecasts are uncertain about the trend or predict stable numbers. For December 7, the forecasts estimate 3,200 to 19,000 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day.
  
  • State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing.
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Hospitalization Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:63e466afe99dc45f0e2c1db21ac8cd16e3b08d8e09c5225ae35832b8852fac2ea6992972c45e46f0b22fab688efad1433b504634d7de2ebcbe50ceb5c5156396
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/97191/cdc_97191_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 349.26 KB ]