COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations

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Up-to-Date Info: To find the latest CDC information on this topic go to: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html

COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations

11/05/2020
By National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
Series: Coronavirus Disease 2020 (COVID-19)

[PDF-357.27 KB]

English

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Details:

Corporate Authors:

National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
Description:

Updated Nov. 5, 2020

Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations

• This week CDC received forecasts of daily, new reported COVID-19 hospitalizations over the next 4 weeks from 10 modeling groups.

• Four national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next four weeks, two forecasts predict a likely decrease, and two forecasts are uncertain about the trend or predict stable numbers. For November 30, the forecasts estimate 2,600 to 13,000 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day.

• State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing.
Content Notes:

Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
Subjects:

[+]

Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Hospitalization Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
Series:

Coronavirus Disease 2020 (COVID-19)
Document Type:

Webpage
Place as Subject:

United States
Collection(s):

Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library collection
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:d200cbc63f1b5a09afcbce422819ddec4e31e3ff7f643906c15b50acf1cb60a3
Download URL:

https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/96850/cdc_96850_DS1.pdf
File Type:

forecasts-cases.html

htm

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