Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): COVID-19 Forecasts: Hospitalizations: 11/05/2020

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated Nov. 5, 2020
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
  
  • This week CDC received forecasts of daily, new reported COVID-19 hospitalizations over the next 4 weeks from 10 modeling groups.
  
  • Four national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next four weeks, two forecasts predict a likely decrease, and two forecasts are uncertain about the trend or predict stable numbers. For November 30, the forecasts estimate 2,600 to 13,000 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day.
  
  • State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing.
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Hospitalization Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:85d3f85b868090b0793a00ae40c619445249020a7907c028cc75d23ef7ee1ce88ce7a3e01c2ddc57f247690cd9e01ebd380932a512051cdf31ac0ad713d309fe
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/96850/cdc_96850_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 357.27 KB ]