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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations
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Description:Updated Nov. 5, 2020
Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
• This week CDC received forecasts of daily, new reported COVID-19 hospitalizations over the next 4 weeks from 10 modeling groups.
• Four national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next four weeks, two forecasts predict a likely decrease, and two forecasts are uncertain about the trend or predict stable numbers. For November 30, the forecasts estimate 2,600 to 13,000 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day.
• State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing.
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Content Notes:Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha256:d200cbc63f1b5a09afcbce422819ddec4e31e3ff7f643906c15b50acf1cb60a3
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