Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): COVID-19 Forecasts: Cumulative Deaths: May 28, 2020

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated May 28, 2020
  
  Interpretation of Cumulative Death Forecasts
  
  • This week CDC received 15 individual national forecasts.
  
  • This week’s national ensemble forecast indicates that the rate of increase in cumulative COVID-19 deaths is continuing to decline. Nevertheless, total COVID-19 deaths are likely to exceed 115,000 by June 20.
  
  • Ensemble forecasts indicate that the rate of new deaths will vary among the states. In some states, cumulative deaths will increase at roughly the same rate as they have in recent weeks, while other states are likely to experience only a small number of additional deaths from COVID-19.
  
  Formerly called: COVID-19 forecasts for the United States.
  
  National Forecast -- State Forecasts -- Why Forecasting COVID-19 Deaths in the US is Critical -- What the Forecasts Aim to Predict -- Working to Bring Together Forecasts for COVID-19 Deaths in the US.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Mortality Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:a08390f31df64cd87fc3d511fd903d4d4a8a6f3141f5cec00c760fbdac95ac051c55c4a7e7f6ac38555aaff62d17c5f843bec9e6d78a58c47531bcd1777e9714
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/88492/cdc_88492_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 429.62 KB ]