COVID-19 forecasts: new hospitalizations
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COVID-19 forecasts: new hospitalizations

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  • Description:
    Forecasts that estimate the numbers of daily new COVID-19 hospitalizations over the next four weeks vary considerably. The two national forecasts included here—from Columbia University and the Georgia Institute of Technology—predict different rates of hospitalizations over time, with large uncertainty bounds. Standardized reporting of state-level hospitalization data is limited, so most forecasts estimate the number of new hospitalizations from data sets of COVID-19 cases or deaths. The use of different data sets, with different limitations—along with the use of different assumptions about social distancing—results in high variation between forecasts
  • Content Notes:
    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- Forecast Assumptions -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Modeling Groups.
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