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COVID-19 forecasts : cases
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December 17, 2020
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Description:Updated Dec. 14, 2020
Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases
• This week, CDC received forecasts of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next 4 weeks from 28 modeling groups that were included in the ensemble forecasts.
• This week’s national ensemble predicts that the number of newly reported COVID-19 cases will likely increase over the next 4 weeks with 1,200,000 to 2,300,000 new cases likely to be reported in the week ending January 9, 2021.
• The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next 4 weeks, the number of new reported cases per week will likely decrease in 9 jurisdictions and increase in 7 jurisdictions, which are indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported cases are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.
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