COVID-19 Forecasts: Cases: December 17, 2020

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated Dec. 14, 2020
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases
  
  • This week, CDC received forecasts of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next 4 weeks from 28 modeling groups that were included in the ensemble forecasts.
  
  • This week’s national ensemble predicts that the number of newly reported COVID-19 cases will likely increase over the next 4 weeks with 1,200,000 to 2,300,000 new cases likely to be reported in the week ending January 9, 2021.
  
  • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next 4 weeks, the number of new reported cases per week will likely decrease in 9 jurisdictions and increase in 7 jurisdictions, which are indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported cases are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Hospitalization Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:9cd05eb7407f3699da2220b4c40b65e77776e46a647000749798483808097ea89d12a80aebb27ad865da8cc1c2957888d67ff1c390b6c08f5db6427c377caec8
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/98945/cdc_98945_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 255.51 KB ]