COVID-19 forecasts : cases

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Up-to-date Information

Up-to-Date Info: To find the latest CDC information on this topic go to: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html

COVID-19 forecasts : cases

Oct. 15, 2020
By National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
Series: Coronavirus Disease 2020 (COVID-19)

[PDF-816.30 KB]

English

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Details:

Corporate Authors:

National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
Description:

updated Oct. 15, 2020

Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases

• This week CDC received forecasts of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next 4 weeks from 31 modeling groups.

• This week’s national ensemble forecast indicates an uncertain trend in new COVID-19 cases reported over the next four weeks and predicts that 210,000 to 420,000 new cases will likely be reported during the week ending November 7, 2020.

• The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next four weeks, the number of new reported cases per week may decrease in 4 states, which are labeled on the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported cases are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.
Content Notes:

Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
Subjects:

[+]

Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Hospitalization Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
Series:

Coronavirus Disease 2020 (COVID-19)
Document Type:

Webpage
Place as Subject:

United States
Collection(s):

Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library collection
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:1b6165a91f7bae11f0a3610b07c2730887f41f3196f5a8014c0536f46b4488a9
Download URL:

https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/95441/cdc_95441_DS1.pdf
File Type:

forecasts-cases.html

htm

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