Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): COVID-19 Forecasts: Hospitalizations: Aug. 20, 2020

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated Aug. 20, 2020
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
  
  • This week, two national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next four weeks, two forecasts predict a likely decline, and three forecasts are either uncertain about the direction of the trend or predict stable numbers. For September 14, the forecasts estimate 2,000 to 10,000 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day.
  
  • State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing.
  
  • Information about participating modeling groups, with model names, intervention assumptions, and methods, is available at: https://github.com/cdcepi/COVID-19-Forecasts/blob/master/COVID-19_Forecast_Model_Descriptions.md
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Hospitalization Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:a3016d6b7a6796f250a2c85ea664406f52f2cafa1270f3a9a2adc945b3c3bf79187ad6e2adc90040c7fea65c1b9bb92523679541dcf95195c71450f5f20d261d
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/92323/cdc_92323_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 350.34 KB ]