Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) : forecasts of total deaths : updated July 23, 2020

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Up-to-date Information

Up-to-Date Info: To find the latest CDC information on this topic go to: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) : forecasts of total deaths : updated July 23, 2020

July 23, 2020
By National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
Series: Coronavirus Disease 2020 (COVID-19)

[PDF-345.58 KB]

English

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Details:

Corporate Authors:

National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
Description:

Observed and forecasted cumulative reported COVID-19 deaths as of July 23, 2020.

Interpretation of Cumulative Death Forecasts

• This week CDC received 26 individual national forecasts.

• This week’s national ensemble forecast predicts there will likely be between 160,000 and 175,000 total reported COVID-19 deaths by August 15th.

• National and state-level ensemble forecasts suggest that the number of new deaths over the next 4 weeks will likely exceed the number reported over the last 4 weeks for the US overall, as well as in 25 states and 1 territory. The jurisdictions with the greatest likelihood of a larger number of deaths include Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Nevada, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Texas, and Utah.
Content Notes:

National Forecast -- State Forecasts -- Modeling Groups.
Subjects:

[+]

Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
Series:

Coronavirus Disease 2020 (COVID-19)
Document Type:

Webpage
Place as Subject:

United States
Collection(s):

Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library collection
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:982326ad49ed003cae830eb6e1bc3a0b297a6df2a7b731e2f64c6a6098b400ed
Download URL:

https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/90972/cdc_90972_DS1.pdf
File Type:

forecasting-us.html

htm

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