Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): Forecasts of Total Deaths: Updated July 23, 2020

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Observed and forecasted cumulative reported COVID-19 deaths as of July 23, 2020.
  
  Interpretation of Cumulative Death Forecasts
  
  • This week CDC received 26 individual national forecasts.
  
  • This week’s national ensemble forecast predicts there will likely be between 160,000 and 175,000 total reported COVID-19 deaths by August 15th.
  
  • National and state-level ensemble forecasts suggest that the number of new deaths over the next 4 weeks will likely exceed the number reported over the last 4 weeks for the US overall, as well as in 25 states and 1 territory. The jurisdictions with the greatest likelihood of a larger number of deaths include Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Nevada, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Texas, and Utah.
  
  National Forecast -- State Forecasts -- Modeling Groups.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:f2f72707598d85a787dd62c39658a293653faf15dde105d8a73c890cbe9c60d748f73c6698db1ebb6d876ff470dd498426ed05bae031e0743b5d3d9dd839d163
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/90972/cdc_90972_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 345.58 KB ]