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Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) : forecasts of total deaths : updated July 23, 2020
Filetype[PDF-345.58 KB]


Details:
  • Description:
    Observed and forecasted cumulative reported COVID-19 deaths as of July 23, 2020.

    Interpretation of Cumulative Death Forecasts

    • This week CDC received 26 individual national forecasts.

    • This week’s national ensemble forecast predicts there will likely be between 160,000 and 175,000 total reported COVID-19 deaths by August 15th.

    • National and state-level ensemble forecasts suggest that the number of new deaths over the next 4 weeks will likely exceed the number reported over the last 4 weeks for the US overall, as well as in 25 states and 1 territory. The jurisdictions with the greatest likelihood of a larger number of deaths include Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Nevada, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Texas, and Utah.

  • Content Notes:
    National Forecast -- State Forecasts -- Modeling Groups.
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