Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): Forecasts of Total Deaths: Updated July 2, 2020

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Observed and forecasted cumulative reported COVID-19 deaths as of June 29, 2020.
  
  Interpretation of Cumulative Death Forecasts
  
  • This week CDC received 24 individual national forecasts.
  
  • This week’s national ensemble forecast suggests that there will likely be between 140,000 and 160,000 total reported COVID-19 deaths by July 25th.
  
  • The state-level ensemble forecasts suggest that the number of new deaths over the next four weeks in Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Idaho, Nevada, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Carolina, Texas, Utah, and Wyoming will likely exceed the number reported over the last four weeks. For other states, the number of new deaths is expected to be similar to the number seen in the previous four weeks or to decrease slightly.
  
  National Forecast -- State Forecasts -- Modeling Groups.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:0cf467e559c7b14e4e9f22d8b1dfd2c3caec1880275b20528321e3ad993f862ec9aa9163fb990b448d80e55032aef102f1d36c5dc5369f7948725b37698809ad
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/90123/cdc_90123_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 492.73 KB ]