CDC STACKS serves as an archival repository of CDC-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other public health information authored or co-authored by CDC or funded partners.
As a repository, CDC STACKS retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.
i
Estimating Risk for Death from Coronavirus Disease, China, January–February 2020
-
June 17 2020
-
Source: Emerg Infect Dis. 26(6):1251-1256
Details:
-
Alternative Title:Emerg Infect Dis
-
Personal Author:
-
Description:Since December 2019, when the first case of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was identified in the city of Wuhan in the Hubei Province of China, the epidemic has generated tens of thousands of cases throughout China. As of February 28, 2020, the cumulative number of reported deaths in China was 2,858. We estimated the time-delay adjusted risk for death from COVID-19 in Wuhan, as well as for China excluding Wuhan, to assess the severity of the epidemic in the country. Our estimates of the risk for death in Wuhan reached values as high as 12% in the epicenter of the epidemic and ≈1% in other, more mildly affected areas. The elevated death risk estimates are probably associated with a breakdown of the healthcare system, indicating that enhanced public health interventions, including social distancing and movement restrictions, should be implemented to bring the COVID-19 epidemic under control.
-
Subjects:
-
Source:
-
Pubmed ID:32168464
-
Pubmed Central ID:PMC7258458
-
Document Type:
-
Place as Subject:
-
Location:
-
Volume:26
-
Issue:6
-
Collection(s):
-
Main Document Checksum:
-
Download URL:
-
File Type:
[PDF-695.94 KB]
