Details:

Alternative Title:
Emerg Infect Dis
Personal Author:
Meltzer, Martin I. ; Cox, Nancy J. ; Fukuda, Keiji ;
Meltzer, Martin I. ; Cox, Nancy J. ; Fukuda, Keiji ; Less -
Description:
We estimated the possible effects of the next influenza pandemic in the United States and analyzed the economic impact of vaccine-based interventions. Using death rates, hospitalization data, and outpatient visits, we estimated 89,000 to 207,000 deaths; 314,000 to 734,000 hospitalizations; 18 to 42 million outpatient visits; and 20 to 47 million additional illnesses. Patients at high risk (15% of the population) would account for approximately 84% of all deaths. The estimated economic impact would be US$71.3 to $166.5 billion, excluding disruptions to commerce and society. At $21 per vaccinee, we project a net savings to society if persons in all age groups are vaccinated. At $62 per vaccinee and at gross attack rates of 25%, we project net losses if persons not at high risk for complications are vaccinated. Vaccinating 60% of the population would generate the highest economic returns but may not be possible within the time required for vaccine effectiveness, especially if two doses of vaccine are required.
Subject:
[+]
Adolescent
Adult
Aged
Ambulatory Care/economics
Child
Child, Preschool
Disease Outbreaks
Health Priorities
Hospitalization
Humans
Infant
Infant, Newborn
Influenza, Human
Influenza Vaccines
Middle Aged
Monte Carlo Method
Risk Factors

Source:
Emerg Infect Dis. 5(5):659-671. ;
Document Type:
Journal Article ;
Place as Subject:
United States ;
Collection(s):
Emerging Infectious Diseases
Main Document Checksum:
[+]
urn:sha256:d5156bdc2ace22e38258c1121cd0c39c7c4349c50036fc2e2de00d193bda0e98
File Type:

Supporting Files

• 	10511522.nxml	txt
  	license.txt	txt

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