COVID-19 Forecasts: Hospitalizations: Nov. 18, 2020

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated Nov. 18, 2020
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
  
  • This week CDC received forecasts of daily, new reported COVID-19 hospitalizations over the next 4 weeks from 10 modeling groups.
  
  • Four national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next four weeks, two forecasts predict a likely decrease, and one forecast is uncertain about the trend or predict stable numbers. For December 14, the forecasts estimate 4,600 to 21,000 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day.
  
  • State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing.
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Hospitalization Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:731bee3384c81ddc2d4b1a8c1793a93dc7625f1f1a292ccc3070d57f89f2fa23b262d0bcd092cdf92980ab12e9199efbf0bad412e5f4b765d76c739b7f56d199
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/97561/cdc_97561_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 358.37 KB ]