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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations
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Description:Updated Sept. 23, 2020
Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
• This week, two national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next four weeks, two forecasts predict a likely decline, and five forecasts are uncertain about the trend or predict stable numbers. For October 19, the forecasts estimate 1,500 to 5,000 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day.
• State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing.
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Content Notes:Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha256:0ef73d16461043bdfb9cccf7246264c7ead3a8ee911beaabfc4bb1b59f5122ae
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