Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): COVID-19 Forecasts: Cases: Aug. 21, 2020

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated Aug. 21, 2020
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases
  
  • This week CDC received forecasts that predict the number of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next four weeks, for the nation, states and territories, and counties. A total of 25 modeling groups submitted forecasts for one or more jurisdictions.
  
  • This week’s national ensemble forecast predicts that weekly reports of new COVID-19 cases will likely decrease over the next month, with 200,000 to 400,000 new cases reported during the week ending September 12, 2020.
  
  • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts indicate that the number of new reported cases per week may decrease in 24 jurisdictions. Those with the greatest likelihood of a decrease over the next four weeks include Florida, Georgia, Guam, and the Virgin Islands.
  
  • Information about participating modeling groups, with model names, intervention assumptions, and methods, is available at https://github.com/cdcepi/COVID-19-Forecasts/blob/master/COVID-19_Forecast_Model_Descriptions.md
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Hospitalization Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:b711c57893a8cf03ef1b2cf8e6cafe6dc2d394ede9792e7459fb4bcb2a4954c6338b7ff166108441b3874b34aeb65df377b18550c742bc3561bc839c8ce68973
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/92377/cdc_92377_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 311.64 KB ]