COVID-19 forecasts : cases
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COVID-19 forecasts : cases

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    • Description:
      Updated Aug. 21, 2020

      Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases

      • This week CDC received forecasts that predict the number of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next four weeks, for the nation, states and territories, and counties. A total of 25 modeling groups submitted forecasts for one or more jurisdictions.

      • This week’s national ensemble forecast predicts that weekly reports of new COVID-19 cases will likely decrease over the next month, with 200,000 to 400,000 new cases reported during the week ending September 12, 2020.

      • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts indicate that the number of new reported cases per week may decrease in 24 jurisdictions. Those with the greatest likelihood of a decrease over the next four weeks include Florida, Georgia, Guam, and the Virgin Islands.

      • Information about participating modeling groups, with model names, intervention assumptions, and methods, is available at

    • Content Notes:
      Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
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