COVID-19 forecasts : cases
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COVID-19 forecasts : cases

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Details:

  • Corporate Authors:
    National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
  • Description:
    Updated Aug. 21, 2020

    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases

    • This week CDC received forecasts that predict the number of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next four weeks, for the nation, states and territories, and counties. A total of 25 modeling groups submitted forecasts for one or more jurisdictions.

    • This week’s national ensemble forecast predicts that weekly reports of new COVID-19 cases will likely decrease over the next month, with 200,000 to 400,000 new cases reported during the week ending September 12, 2020.

    • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts indicate that the number of new reported cases per week may decrease in 24 jurisdictions. Those with the greatest likelihood of a decrease over the next four weeks include Florida, Georgia, Guam, and the Virgin Islands.

    • Information about participating modeling groups, with model names, intervention assumptions, and methods, is available at https://github.com/cdcepi/COVID-19-Forecasts/blob/master/COVID-19_Forecast_Model_Descriptions.md

  • Content Notes:
    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
  • Subjects:
  • Series:
    Coronavirus Disease 2020 (COVID-19)
  • Document Type:
    Webpage
  • Place as Subject:
    United States
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