Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) : forecasts of total deaths [State Forecasts]
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Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) : forecasts of total deaths [State Forecasts]

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    State-level forecasts figures show observed and forecasted state-level new and cumulative COVID-19 deaths in the US. Each state forecast uses a different scale, due to differences in the numbers of COVID-19 deaths occurring in each state.

    Forecasts fall into one of two categories:

    • The CMU, DDS, Columbia-UNC, ERDC, ESG, Geneva, GT-DeepCOVID, ISU, Karlen, LANL, LNQ, LSHTM, MIT-CovAlliance, MIT-ORC, MOBS, Oliver Wyman, NotreDame-Mobility, QJHong, STH, UA, UCM, UM, UMass-MB, USC, and UT forecasts assume that existing control measures will remain in place during the prediction period.

    • The Columbia, COVID19Sim, GT-CHHS, IHME, JCB, JHU, NotreDame-FRED, PSI, UCLA, and YYG forecasts make different assumptions about how levels of social distancing will change in the future.

    Consolidated-Forecasts-Incident-Cumulative-Deaths-2020-07-27.pdf

    Consolidated-Forecasts-2020-07-20.pdf

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