Risk for Transportation of Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China

Du, Zhanwei; Wang, Lin; Cauchemez, Simon; Xu, Xiaoke; Wang, Xianwen; Cowling, Benjamin J.; Meyers, Lauren Ancel

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CDC STACKS serves as an archival repository of CDC-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other public health information authored or co-authored by CDC or funded partners. As a repository, CDC STACKS retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.

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Risk for Transportation of Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China

May 17 2020
By Du, Zhanwei ; Wang, Lin ; Cauchemez, Simon ; ...
Source: Emerg Infect Dis. 26(5):1049-1052

[PDF-779.18 KB]

English

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Details:

Alternative Title:

Emerg Infect Dis
Personal Author:

Du, Zhanwei ; Wang, Lin ; Cauchemez, Simon ; Xu, Xiaoke ; Wang, Xianwen ; ... More +

Du, Zhanwei ; Wang, Lin ; Cauchemez, Simon ; Xu, Xiaoke ; Wang, Xianwen ; Cowling, Benjamin J. ; Meyers, Lauren Ancel Less -
Description:

On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.
Subjects:

[+]

Betacoronavirus Cities Coronavirus Infections Covid-19 Disease Outbreaks Forecasting Humans Models, Statistical Pandemics Pneumonia, Viral Quarantine Risk Assessment Stochastic Processes Transportation
Source:

Emerg Infect Dis. 26(5):1049-1052
Pubmed ID:

32053479
Pubmed Central ID:

PMC7181905
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

U01 GM087719/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States
Genre:

Letter
Place as Subject:

China
Volume:

26
Issue:

5
Collection(s):

Emerging Infectious Diseases
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:074f617b73fe054092acaee274858322848f420489a14cdee9febdc59cebce28
Download URL:

https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/87683/cdc_87683_DS1.pdf
File Type:

	20-0146-F.gif	gif
	20-0146-F.jpg	jpeg
	20-0146-Techapp-s1.pdf	pdf
	20-0146.nxml	xml

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