Mortality model based on delays in progression of chronic diseases: alternative to cause elimination model.

Manton, K G; Patrick, C H; Stallard, E

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Alternative Title:

Public Health Rep

Personal Author:

Manton, K G ; Patrick, C H ; Stallard, E ;

Description:

For the analysis of the impact of major chronic diseases on a population, a life table model is proposed in which the age at death due to specific cause (chronic disease) is postponed. Even though many of the major causes of death related to intrinsic aging processes are impossible to eliminate, these causes might be significantly delayed or retarded. To illustrate the use of this model, the effects of a delay of 5, 10, and 15 years in deaths due to three chronic degenerative diseases (cancer, ischemic heart disease, and stroke) are calculated for specific race-sex components of the U.S. population in 1969. These calculations show that even moderate delays in the progression of major chronic diseases will yield a sizable portion of the total gain in longevity that would be available if the diseases were totally eliminated. Thus, they demonstrate that a life table model based on cause delay provides a more biomedically plausible representation of the health impact of a chronic disease on a population than does the cause elimination life table model. Additionally, the cause-delay model provides a mechanism for incorporating the likely effects of medical innovation on survival.

Subject:

[+]

Pubmed ID:

7433613

Pubmed Central ID:

PMCnull

Document Type:

Journal Article

Funding:

AG 01159-03/AG/NIA NIH HHS/United States

Collection(s):

Public Health Reports

Main Document Checksum:

[+]

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Supporting Files:

No Additional Files

Concluding remarks

Personal Author:

Klerman, Gerald L.

Published Date:

Nov 1980

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):561

File Type:

[PDF - 204.11 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 204.11 KB]
Homicide among black males. Causal factors.

Personal Author:

Akbar, N

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):554-556

File Type:

[PDF - 402.44 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 402.44 KB]
Toward a macrocosmic view of crime in African-American communities.

Personal Author:

Winbush, R A

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):557

File Type:

[PDF - 197.17 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 197.17 KB]
Homicide among black males. Social costs to families and communities.

Personal Author:

Dennis, R E

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):556-557

File Type:

[PDF - 399.88 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 399.88 KB]
Influence of educational attainment on Nigerian mothers' preference for breast or artificial feeding for infants.

Personal Author:

Owie, I

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):562-563

File Type:

[PDF - 455.85 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 455.85 KB]
Role of alcohol and drug abuse in homicide.

Personal Author:

Gary, L E

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):553-554

File Type:

[PDF - 399.37 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 399.37 KB]
Perils and pitfalls of systems that collect data on homicide.

Personal Author:

Riedel, M ; Brown, J ;

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):552

File Type:

[PDF - 171.50 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 171.50 KB]
HUD's crime prevention program.

Personal Author:

Curtis, L A

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):558

File Type:

[PDF - 197.53 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 197.53 KB]
Homicide prevention from the perspective of the Office of Health Promotion.

Personal Author:

Iverson, D C

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):559-560

File Type:

[PDF - 417.40 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 417.40 KB]
Homicide among black males. Highlights of the symposium sponsored by the Alcohol, Drug Abuse, and Mental Health Administration, Washington, D.C., May 13--14, 1980.

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):549-561

File Type:

[PDF - 334.71 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 334.71 KB]
Toward a dual labor-market approach to black-on-black homicide.

Personal Author:

Bowman, P J

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):555-556

File Type:

[PDF - 416.60 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 416.60 KB]
Public Health Rep ; v. 95, no. 6 : Masthead

Published Date:

Nov-Dec 1980

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6)

File Type:

[PDF - 2.30 MB]

File Type:

[PDF - 2.30 MB]
Public Health Rep ; v. 95, no. 6 : table of contents

Published Date:

Nov-Dec 1980

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6)

File Type:

[PDF - 392.36 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 392.36 KB]
Homicide among black males, Final observations and summary.

Personal Author:

Thomas, C W

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):560-561

File Type:

[PDF - 408.80 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 408.80 KB]
Integrating primary health care and mental health services: a preliminary report.

Personal Author:

Goldman, H H ; Burns, B J ; ...

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):535-539

File Type:

[PDF - 924.21 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 924.21 KB]
Forecasting need and demand for home health care: a selective review

Personal Author:

Sharma, Rabinder K.

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):572-579

Description:

THREE MODELS FOR FORECASTING HOME HEALTH CARE (HHC) NEEDS ARE ANALYZED: HSA/SP model (Health Systems Agency of Southwestern Pennsylvania); Florida mod...

File Type:

[PDF - 1.18 MB]

File Type:

[PDF - 1.18 MB]
Impact of community health centers and Medicaid on the use of health services.

Personal Author:

Okada, L M ; Wan, T T ;

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):520-534

Description:

The impact of improved access to health care through the Federal community health center (CHC) and Medicaid programs was examined in five urban low-in...

File Type:

[PDF - 2.17 MB]

File Type:

[PDF - 2.17 MB]
Ambulatory care in the community.

Personal Author:

Rabin, D L ; Spector, K K ; ...

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):511-519

Description:

To document the volume and kinds of ambulatory care, particularly primary care, being provided in a medically self-contained community, a survey was c...

File Type:

[PDF - 4.05 MB]

File Type:

[PDF - 4.05 MB]
Trends in cesarean section rates for the United States, 1970--78.

Personal Author:

Placek, Paul J. ; Taffel, Selma M. ;

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):540-548

Description:

With National Hospital Discharge Survey data collected by the National Center for Health Statistics as a basis, rates of cesarean section deliveries w...

File Type:

[PDF - 1.72 MB]

File Type:

[PDF - 1.72 MB]
Advocacy for life: mandates, models, and priorities for prevention.

Personal Author:

Holliday, B G

Published Date:

1980 Nov-Dec

Source:

Public Health Rep. 95(6):558-559

File Type:

[PDF - 409.78 KB]

File Type:

[PDF - 409.78 KB]

Mortality model based on delays in progression of chronic diseases: alternative to cause elimination model.

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