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Climate change and mosquito-borne disease.
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Mar 2001
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By Reiter, P
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Source: Environ Health Perspect. 109(Suppl 1):141-161.
[PDF-2.01 MB]
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Alternative Title:Environ Health Perspect
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Description:Global atmospheric temperatures are presently in a warming phase that began 250--300 years ago. Speculations on the potential impact of continued warming on human health often focus on mosquito-borne diseases. Elementary models suggest that higher global temperatures will enhance their transmission rates and extend their geographic ranges. However, the histories of three such diseases--malaria, yellow fever, and dengue--reveal that climate has rarely been the principal determinant of their prevalence or range; human activities and their impact on local ecology have generally been much more significant. It is therefore inappropriate to use climate-based models to predict future prevalence.
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