Determinants and Drivers of Infectious Disease Threat Events in Europe

Details

• Alternative Title:
  Emerg Infect Dis
• Personal Author:
  Semenza, Jan C. ; Lindgren, Elisabet ; Balkanyi, Laszlo ; Espinosa, Laura ; Almqvist, My S. ; Penttinen, Pasi ; Rocklöv, Joacim
• Description:
  Infectious disease threat events (IDTEs) are increasing in frequency worldwide. We analyzed underlying drivers of 116 IDTEs detected in Europe during 2008-2013 by epidemic intelligence at the European Centre of Disease Prevention and Control. Seventeen drivers were identified and categorized into 3 groups: globalization and environment, sociodemographic, and public health systems. A combination of >2 drivers was responsible for most IDTEs. The driver category globalization and environment contributed to 61% of individual IDTEs, and the top 5 individual drivers of all IDTEs were travel and tourism, food and water quality, natural environment, global trade, and climate. Hierarchical cluster analysis of all drivers identified travel and tourism as a distinctly separate driver. Monitoring and modeling such disease drivers can help anticipate future IDTEs and strengthen control measures. More important, intervening directly on these underlying drivers can diminish the likelihood of the occurrence of an IDTE and reduce the associated human and economic costs.
• Subjects:
  Cluster Analysis Communicable Disease Control Communicable Diseases Disease Outbreaks Environment Epidemiological Monitoring Humans Internationality Models, Statistical Public Health Travel

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• Source:
  Emerg Infect Dis. 22(4):581-589.
• Pubmed ID:
  26982104
• Pubmed Central ID:
  PMC4806948
• Document Type:
  Journal Article
• Place as Subject:
  Europe
• Volume:
  22
• Issue:
  4
• Collection(s):
  Emerging Infectious Diseases
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:23db30d5d30e58627bdc5835b411db4e9072eb0febabdbd3321c22ce116cc374
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/38708/cdc_38708_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 521.95 KB ]