Deaths Associated with Influenza Pandemic of 1918–19, Japan

Details

• Alternative Title:
  Emerg Infect Dis
• Personal Author:
  Chandra, Siddharth
• Description:
  Current estimates of deaths from the influenza pandemic of 1918-19 in Japan are based on vital records and range from 257,000 to 481,000. The resulting crude death rate range of 0.47%-0.88% is considerably lower than parallel and conservative worldwide estimates of 1.66%-2.77%. Because the accuracy of vital registration records for early 20th century Asia is questionable, to calculate the percentage of the population who died from the pandemic, we used alternative prefecture-level population count data for Japan in combination with estimation methods for panel data that were not available to earlier demographers. Our population loss estimates of 1.97-2.02 million are appreciably higher than the standing estimates, and they yield a crude rate of population loss of 3.62%-3.71%. This rate resolves a major puzzle about the pandemic by indicating that the experience of Japan was similar to that of other parts of Asia.
• Subjects:
  History, 20Th Century Humans Influenza, Human Models, Statistical Orthomyxoviridae Pandemics Research Design Survival Rate
• Source:
  Emerg Infect Dis. 19(4):616-622.
• Document Type:
  Journal Article
• Name as Subject:
  Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 ; Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919
• Genre:
  Historical Article
• Place as Subject:
  Japan
• Volume:
  19
• Issue:
  4
• Collection(s):
  Emerging Infectious Diseases
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:453597ac45ffbc11ebd98cfdf1c29f4a6921b2f422ef6a7f70c1e1b0ed2fb1b2
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/18735/cdc_18735_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 514.41 KB ]