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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations : updated Apr. 17, 2024
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May 2, 2024
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Description:Updated May 2, 2024
Forecasted daily COVID-19 hospital admissions as of April 29, 2024
Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
This week’s national ensemble predicts 130 to 2,400 daily COVID-19 hospital admissions likely reported on May 27. Ensemble hospitalization estimates for the next four weeks are also available for states and territories.
Forecasts and recent hospitalization data for Arkansas and New Mexico should be interpreted with caution until technical data issues can be investigated and resolved.
Ensemble forecasts combine diverse independent team forecasts into one forecast. While they have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance over time, even the ensemble forecasts have not reliably predicted rapid changes in the trends of reported cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. They should not be relied upon for making decisions about the possibility or timing of rapid changes in trends.
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