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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations : updated Apr. 17, 2024

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    Updated Apr. 25, 2024

    Forecasted daily COVID-19 hospital admissions as of April 22, 2024

    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations

     This week’s national ensemble predicts 80 to 2,400 daily COVID-19 hospital admissions likely reported on May 20. Ensemble hospitalization estimates for the next four weeks are also available for states and territories.

     Forecasts and recent hospitalization data for Arkansas, California, and New Mexico should be interpreted with caution until technical data issues can be investigated and resolved.

     Ensemble forecasts combine diverse independent team forecasts into one forecast. While they have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance over time, even the ensemble forecasts have not reliably predicted rapid changes in the trends of reported cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. They should not be relied upon for making decisions about the possibility or timing of rapid changes in trends.

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