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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations : updated Mar. 21, 2024
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Description:Updated Apr. 11, 2024
Forecasted daily COVID-19 hospital admissions as of April 8, 2024
Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
• This week’s national ensemble predicts 240 to 2,300 daily COVID-19 hospital admissions likely reported on May 6. Ensemble hospitalization estimates for the next four weeks are also available for states and territories.
• Forecasts and recent hospitalization data for Arkansas, New Mexico, and Texas should be interpreted with caution until technical data issues can be investigated and resolved.
• Ensemble forecasts combine diverse independent team forecasts into one forecast. While they have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance over time, even the ensemble forecasts have not reliably predicted rapid changes in the trends of reported cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. They should not be relied upon for making decisions about the possibility or timing of rapid changes in trends.
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