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Estimating Time and Size of Bioterror Attack
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Jul 2004
Source: Emerg Infect Dis. 10(7):1202-1205.
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Alternative Title:Emerg Infect Dis
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Description:In the event of a bioterror attack, rapidly estimating the size and time of attack enables short-run forecasts of the number of persons who will be symptomatic and require medical care. We present a Bayesian approach to this problem for use in real time and illustrate it with data from a simulated anthrax attack. The method is simple enough to be implemented in a spreadsheet.
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