Estimating Time and Size of Bioterror Attack

Walden, Johan; Kaplan, Edward H.

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Estimating Time and Size of Bioterror Attack

Published Date:

Jul 2004

Source:

Emerg Infect Dis. 10(7):1202-1205.

[PDF-78.26 KB]

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Alternative Title:

Emerg Infect Dis

Personal Author:

Walden, Johan ; Kaplan, Edward H. ;

Description:

In the event of a bioterror attack, rapidly estimating the size and time of attack enables short-run forecasts of the number of persons who will be symptomatic and require medical care. We present a Bayesian approach to this problem for use in real time and illustrate it with data from a simulated anthrax attack. The method is simple enough to be implemented in a spreadsheet.

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Document Type:

Journal Article

Collection(s):

Emerging Infectious Diseases

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Estimating Time and Size of Bioterror Attack

Estimating Time and Size of Bioterror Attack

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