Estimating Time and Size of Bioterror Attack

Walden, Johan; Kaplan, Edward H.

Back to Previous Page

- Add this to...
- Twitter
- Facebook
- Google Bookmarks
- LinkedIn

Estimating Time and Size of Bioterror Attack

Published Date:

Jul 2004

Source:

Emerg Infect Dis. 10(7):1202-1205.

[PDF-78.26 KB]

Details:

Alternative Title:

Emerg Infect Dis

Personal Author:

Walden, Johan ; Kaplan, Edward H. ;

Description:

In the event of a bioterror attack, rapidly estimating the size and time of attack enables short-run forecasts of the number of persons who will be symptomatic and require medical care. We present a Bayesian approach to this problem for use in real time and illustrate it with data from a simulated anthrax attack. The method is simple enough to be implemented in a spreadsheet.

Subject:

[+]

Document Type:

Journal Article

Collection(s):

Emerging Infectious Diseases

Main Document Checksum:

[+]

Supporting Files:

	03-0632-FA2.gif	image/gif
	03-0632-FA2.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-M1.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-M10.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-M11.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-M12.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-M2.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-M3.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-M4.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-M5.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-F1.gif	image/gif
	03-0632-M6.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-M7.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-M8.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-M9.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632.nxml	text/plain
	license.txt	text/plain
	03-0632-F1.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-F2.gif	image/gif
	03-0632-F2.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-F3.gif	image/gif
	03-0632-F3.jpg	image/jpeg
	03-0632-FA1.gif	image/gif
	03-0632-FA1.jpg	image/jpeg

No Related Documents.

You May Also Like:

Biologic Agents and Disease Emergence

Personal Author:

Potter, Polyxeni

Published Date:

Jul 2004

Source:

Emerg Infect Dis. 10(7):1354-1355.

File Type:

[PDF - 220.42 KB]
Modeling Tool for Decision Support during Early Days of an Anthrax Event

Personal Author:

Rainisch, Gabriel; Meltzer, Martin I.; Shadomy, Sean; Bower, William A.; Hupert, Nathaniel;

Published Date:

Jan 2017

Source:

Emerg Infect Dis. 23(1):46-55.

Description:

Health officials lack field-implementable tools for forecasting the effects that a large-scale release of Bacillus anthracis spores would have on public health and hospitals. We created a modeling tool (combining inhalational anthrax caseload project...

File Type:

[PDF - 1.22 MB]
Detecting Bioterror Attacks by Screening Blood Donors: A Best-Case Analysis

Personal Author:

Kaplan, Edward H.; Patton, Christopher A.; FitzGerald, William P.; Wein, Lawrence M.;

Published Date:

Aug 2003

Source:

Emerg Infect Dis. 9(8):909-914

Description:

To assess whether screening blood donors could provide early warning of a bioterror attack, we combined stochastic models of blood donation and the workings of blood tests with an epidemic model to derive the probability distribution of the time to d...

File Type:

[PDF - 344.23 KB]
Public Response to an Anthrax Attack: A Multiethnic Perspective

Personal Author:

SteelFisher, Gillian K.; Blendon, Robert J.; Brulé, Amanda S.; Ben-Porath, Eran N.; Ross, Laura J.; Atkins, Bret M.;

Published Date:

Dec 2012

Source:

Biosecur Bioterror. 10(4):401-411

Description:

The 2001 anthrax attacks emphasized the need to develop outreach that would more effectively support racial/ethnic minority populations during a bioterrorism incident. Given the importance of antibiotic prophylaxis in a future anthrax attack, it shou...

File Type:

[PDF - 304.28 KB]
Public Health Emergency Planning for Children in Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear (CBRN) Disasters

Personal Author:

Bartenfeld, Michael T.; Peacock, Georgina; Griese, Stephanie E.;

Published Date:

2014 Jul-Aug

Source:

Biosecur Bioterror. 12(4):201-207.

Description:

Children represent nearly a quarter of the US population, but their unique needs in chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) emergencies may not be well understood by public health and emergency management personnel or even clinicians. ...

File Type:

[PDF - 99.36 KB]