Forecasts of flu hospital admissions

Details

• Alternative Title:
  Forecasts of flu hospitalizations
• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.)
• Description:
  Updated December 22, 2023
  
  Reported and forecasted new influenza hospital admissions as of December 20, 2023.
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospital Admissions
  
  • This week’s ensemble predicts that the number of new weekly laboratory confirmed influenza hospital admissions will likely increase nationally, with 6,600 to 25,000 laboratory confirmed influenza hospital admissions likely reported in the week ending January 6, 2024.
  
  • This week, 24 modeling groups contributed 29 forecasts that were eligible for inclusion in the ensemble forecasts for at least one jurisdiction. Contributing teams are listed below.
  
  • Ensemble forecasts combine forecasts from diverse models into one forecast. They have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance for previous influenza and COVID-19 forecasting efforts, but even the ensemble forecasts may not reliably predict rapid changes.
  
  • The figure shows the number of new laboratory confirmed influenza hospital admissions reported in the United States each week from September 1 through December 16 and forecasted new influenza hospital admissions per week for this week and the next 2 weeks, through January 6. Hospitals are required to report daily laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations to HHS Protect.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Disease Outbreaks Forecasting Hospitalization Influenza, Human Public Health Surveillance
• Document Type:
  Webpage
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:fb24b20284a0288344b643d786ecbb425a1bcbcafe31a9ac49efd2231b6387dd
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/138346/cdc_138346_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 826.46 KB ]