Details:

Corporate Authors:
National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.)
Description:
Updated March 15, 2023

Reported and forecasted new influenza hospitalizations as of March 14, 2023.

Interpretation of National Forecasts of New Hospitalizations

• This week’s ensemble predicts that the number of new weekly confirmed influenza hospital admissions will remain stable or have an uncertain trend nationally, with 210 to 3,600 new confirmed influenza hospital admissions likely reported in the week ending April 8, 2023.

• This week, 20 modeling groups contributed 21 forecasts that were eligible for inclusion in the ensemble forecasts for at least one jurisdiction. Contributing teams are listed below.

• Ensemble forecasts combine forecasts from diverse models into one forecast. They have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance for previous influenza and COVID-19 forecasting efforts, but even the ensemble forecasts may not reliably predict rapid changes.

• The figure shows the number of new confirmed influenza hospital admissions reported in the United States each week from September 1 through March 11 and forecasted new influenza hospital admissions per week over the next 4 weeks, through April 8. Hospitals are required to report laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations to HHS Protect daily. See COVID-19 Guidance for Hospital Reporting and FAQs for additional details on this guidance.


Subject:
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Disease Outbreaks
Forecasting
Hospitalization
Influenza, Human
Public Health Surveillance

Document Type:
Webpage
Place as Subject:
United States
Collection(s):
Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library collection
Main Document Checksum:
[+]
urn:sha256:8cd7a3c6c11cdf60f78ccf3eb0e125cc8973714616a6d2cac68ebf758558b5d7
File Type:

Supporting Files

• flu-forecasts.htm

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