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Forecasts of flu hospitalizations
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March 1, 2023
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Description:Updated March 1, 2023
Reported and forecasted new influenza hospitalizations as of February 28, 2023.
Interpretation of National Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
• This week’s ensemble predicts that the number of new weekly confirmed influenza hospital admissions will remain stable or have an uncertain trend nationally, with 300 to 2,900 new confirmed influenza hospital admissions likely reported in the week ending March 11, 2023.
• This week, 20 modeling groups contributed 21 forecasts that were eligible for inclusion in the ensemble forecasts for at least one jurisdiction. Contributing teams are listed below.
• Ensemble forecasts combine forecasts from diverse models into one forecast. They have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance for previous influenza and COVID-19 forecasting efforts, but even the ensemble forecasts may not reliably predict rapid changes.
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