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Forecasts of flu hospitalizations : reported and forecasted new influenza hospitalizations as of May 3, 2022 [national forecasts]
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May 3, 2022
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Source: FluSight
[PDF-288.23 KB]
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Description:Updated May 3, 2022
Reported and forecasted new influenza hospitalizations as of May 3, 2022.
Interpretation of National Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
• This week’s ensemble predicts that the number of new weekly confirmed influenza hospital admissions will remain stable or have an uncertain trend nationally, with 1,400 to 4,400 new confirmed influenza hospital admissions likely reported in the week ending May 28, 2022.
• This week, 16 modeling groups contributed one or more forecasts that were eligible for inclusion in the new hospitalization ensemble forecasts for at least one jurisdiction. Contributing teams are listed below.
• Ensemble forecasts combine diverse independent team forecasts into one forecast. They have been among the most reliable forecasts in performance for previous influenza and COVID-19 forecasts, but even the ensemble forecasts may not reliably predict rapid changes in the trends.
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