Excess All-Cause Deaths during Coronavirus Disease Pandemic, Japan, January–May 20201

Details

• Alternative Title:
  Emerg Infect Dis
• Personal Author:
  Kawashima, Takayuki ; Nomura, Shuhei ; Tanoue, Yuta ; Yoneoka, Daisuke ; Eguchi, Akifumi ; Ng, Chris Fook Sheng ; Matsuura, Kentaro ; Shi, Shoi ; Makiyama, Koji ; Uryu, Shinya ; Kawamura, Yumi ; Takayanagi, Shinichi ; Gilmour, Stuart ; Miyata, Hiroaki ; Sunagawa, Tomimasa ; Takahashi, Takuri ; Tsuchihashi, Yuuki ; Kobayashi, Yusuke ; Arima, Yuzo ; Kanou, Kazuhiko ; Suzuki, Motoi ; Hashizume, Masahiro
• Description:
  To provide insight into the mortality burden of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Japan, we estimated the excess all-cause deaths for each week during the pandemic, January-May 2020, by prefecture and age group. We applied quasi-Poisson regression models to vital statistics data. Excess deaths were expressed as the range of differences between the observed and expected number of all-cause deaths and the 95% upper bound of the 1-sided prediction interval. A total of 208-4,322 all-cause excess deaths at the national level indicated a 0.03%-0.72% excess in the observed number of deaths. Prefecture and age structure consistency between the reported COVID-19 deaths and our estimates was weak, suggesting the need to use cause-specific analyses to distinguish between direct and indirect consequences of COVID-19.
• Subjects:
  Cause Of Death Coronavirus Infections/Diagnosis Covid-19/Diagnosis Covid-19/Mortality Humans Mortality
• Source:
  Emerg Infect Dis. 27(3):789-795
• Pubmed ID:
  33622468
• Pubmed Central ID:
  PMC7920666
• Document Type:
  Journal Article
• Place as Subject:
  Japan
• Volume:
  27
• Issue:
  3
• Collection(s):
  Emerging Infectious Diseases
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:d725b27f6b0e83a22f3f57c14f7b1d467a24972448f1fea717b39106d4102cfd
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/104047/cdc_104047_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 381.36 KB ]