COVID-19 Forecasts: Cases: Feb. 10, 2021

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated Feb. 10, 2021
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Cases
  
  • This week, ensemble forecasts of new reported COVID-19 cases over the next 4 weeks included forecasts from 27 modeling groups, each of which contributed a forecast for at least one jurisdiction.
  
  • This week’s national ensemble predicts that the number of newly reported COVID-19 cases will likely decrease over the next 4 weeks, with 355,000 to 869,000 new cases likely reported in the week ending March 6, 2021.
  
  • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next 4 weeks, the number of new reported cases per week will likely decrease in 45 jurisdictions, which are indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported cases are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Hospitalization Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:ac8edadf95e08bce94d4a9da715d187831c3c8ea9e6a116d25669765ef7e6b5c45e88a11815d3c39b11672e6fd546967a726528d5d538a3166d19548cc299766
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/102821/cdc_102821_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 313.74 KB ]