COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations
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Details:

  • Corporate Authors:
    National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
  • Description:
    Updated Jan. 13, 2021

    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations

    • This week, CDC received forecasts of daily, new reported COVID-19 hospital admissions over the next 4 weeks from 12 modeling groups that were included in the ensemble forecasts.

    • This week’s national ensemble predicts a likely increase in number of daily new confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions, with 14,000 to 25,000 new confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions reported February 8, 2021.

    • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next 4 weeks, the number of daily confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions will likely increase in 8 jurisdictions and decrease in 4 jurisdictions, which are indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported hospital admissions are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.

    • In previous weeks, all submitted forecasts were displayed, even if they were not included in the ensemble forecasts. Starting this week, only forecasts meeting a set of inclusion criteria are shown for jurisdictions with ensemble forecasts. Further details are available here: https://covid19forecasthub.org/doc/ensemble/

  • Content Notes:
    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
  • Subjects:
  • Series:
    Coronavirus Disease 2020 (COVID-19)
  • Document Type:
    Webpage
  • Place as Subject:
    United States
  • Collection(s):
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  • File Type:

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