Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): COVID-19 Forecasts: Hospitalizations: Jan. 13, 2021

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated Jan. 13, 2021
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
  
  • This week, CDC received forecasts of daily, new reported COVID-19 hospital admissions over the next 4 weeks from 12 modeling groups that were included in the ensemble forecasts.
  
  • This week’s national ensemble predicts a likely increase in number of daily new confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions, with 14,000 to 25,000 new confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions reported February 8, 2021.
  
  • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next 4 weeks, the number of daily confirmed COVID-19 hospital admissions will likely increase in 8 jurisdictions and decrease in 4 jurisdictions, which are indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported hospital admissions are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.
  
  • In previous weeks, all submitted forecasts were displayed, even if they were not included in the ensemble forecasts. Starting this week, only forecasts meeting a set of inclusion criteria are shown for jurisdictions with ensemble forecasts. Further details are available here: https://covid19forecasthub.org/doc/ensemble/
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Hospitalization Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:84b45c4738435211d6129648606c8966563ef736eb9c12ba3037aceac1fa9010ff8c6e395672d7028954a8a53672477df2a76a1c17700dae3eb9469fdb322e87
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/100467/cdc_100467_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 279.90 KB ]