Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): COVID-19 Forecasts: Hospitalizations: Oct. 27, 2020

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated Oct. 27, 2020
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations
  
  • This week CDC received forecasts of daily, new reported COVID-19 hospitalizations over the next 4 weeks from 12 modeling groups.
  
  • Five national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next four weeks, two forecasts predict a likely decrease, and two forecasts are uncertain about the trend or predict stable numbers. For November 23, the forecasts estimate 2,300 to 13,000 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day.
  
  • State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing.
  
  Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:3a91b6b59b9c1d99e6d3b4f1cbc222321400b8dc28d04c2f77324870f032de6d96c3659c2fb72d1d120968ee3ba10ea6fae96c14fa0c2dcc8aca329eb42f5a09
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/96107/cdc_96107_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 425.26 KB ]