COVID-19 forecasts : deaths : updated Oct. 21, 2020
Advanced Search
Select up to three search categories and corresponding keywords using the fields to the right. Refer to the Help section for more detailed instructions.

Search our Collections & Repository

All these words:

For very narrow results

This exact word or phrase:

When looking for a specific result

Any of these words:

Best used for discovery & interchangable words

None of these words:

Recommended to be used in conjunction with other fields



Publication Date Range:


Document Data


Document Type:






Clear All

Query Builder

Query box

Clear All

For additional assistance using the Custom Query please check out our Help Page


COVID-19 forecasts : deaths : updated Oct. 21, 2020

Filetype[PDF-710.70 KB]

  • English

  • Details:

    • Description:
      bserved and forecasted new and total reported COVID-19 deaths as of October 19, 2020.

      Interpretation of Forecasts of New and Total Deaths

      • This week CDC received forecasts of COVID-19 deaths over the next 4 weeks from 45 modeling groups. Of the 45 groups, 42 provided forecasts for both new and total deaths, two groups forecasted total deaths only, and one forecasted new deaths only.

      • This week’s national ensemble forecast indicates an uncertain trend in new COVID-19 deaths reported over the next four weeks and predicts that 3,500 to 7,600 new deaths will likely be reported during the week ending November 14, 2020. The national ensemble predicts that a total of 235,000 to 247,000 COVID-19 deaths will be reported by this date.

      • The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next 4 weeks, the number of newly reported deaths per week may increase in one jurisdiction, which is indicated in the forecast plots below. Trends in numbers of future reported deaths are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories.

    • Content Notes:
      National Forecast -- State Forecasts -- Ensemble Forecast -- Forecast Assumptions.
    • Document Type:
    • Place as Subject:
    • Main Document Checksum:
    • File Type:

    Supporting Files

    • No Additional Files

    More +

    You May Also Like

    Checkout today's featured content at