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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations
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  • Description:
    Updated Oct. 20, 2020 Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations • This week CDC received forecasts of daily, new reported COVID-19 hospitalizations over the next 4 weeks from ten modeling groups. • Four national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next four weeks, one forecast predicts a likely decrease, and three forecasts are uncertain about the trend or predict stable numbers. For November 16, the forecasts estimate 2,600 to 6,200 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day. • State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing.
  • Content Notes:
    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
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