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COVID-19 forecasts : hospitalizations
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  • Description:
    Updated Oct. 14, 2020

    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations

    • This week CDC received forecasts of daily, new reported COVID-19 hospitalizations over the next 4 weeks from ten modeling groups.

    • Three national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next four weeks and five forecasts are uncertain about the trend or predict stable numbers. For November 9, the forecasts estimate 1,900 to 6,700 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day.

    • State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing.

  • Content Notes:
    Interpretation of Forecasts of New Hospitalizations -- National Forecasts -- State Forecasts -- Forecast Assumptions -- Modeling Groups.
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