Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): COVID-19 Forecasts: Deaths: Updated Sept. 3, 2020

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated Aug. 21, 2020
  
  Observed and forecasted new and total reported COVID-19 deaths as of August 17, 2020.
  
  • This week CDC received forecasts of national COVID-19 deaths over the next 4 weeks from 33 modeling groups. Of the 33 groups, 31 provided forecasts for both new and total deaths and two provided forecasts for total deaths only.
  
  • This week’s national ensemble forecast predicts that 3,700 to 9,600 new COVID-19 deaths will be reported during the week ending September 12 and that 187,000 to 205,000 total COVID-19 deaths will be reported by that date.
  
  • State- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that the number of reported new deaths per week will likely increase over the next four weeks in Minnesota and may decrease in 13 jurisdictions. Those with the greatest likelihood of a decrease over the next four weeks include Arizona, Florida, Mississippi, and South Carolina.
  
  National Forecast -- State Forecasts -- Modeling Groups.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Series:
  Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
• Document Type:
  Text
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:4204ee6f7a7788235ea897eb44a439ba387377062dc37d2c0dbc546534ccd6d8eccca95efddf47e17f671a963e7929b86ab08d0280646ef1fc00e622bc169ecd
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/93092/cdc_93092_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 436.88 KB ]