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Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) : forecasts of total deaths : updated June 24, 2020
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June 24, 2020
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Description:Interpretation of Cumulative Death Forecasts
• This week CDC received 20 individual national forecasts.
• This week’s national ensemble forecast suggests that there will likely be between 130,000 and 150,000 total reported COVID-19 deaths by July 18th.
• The state-level ensemble forecasts suggest that the number of new deaths over the next four weeks in Arizona, Arkansas, California, Florida, Hawaii, Missouri, Nevada, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah will likely exceed the number reported over the last four weeks. For other states, the number of new deaths is expected to be similar to the number seen in the previous four weeks or to decrease slightly.
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Content Notes:National Forecast -- State Forecasts -- Modeling Groups.
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