COVID-19 forecasts: Cumulative deaths

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (U.S.). Division of Viral Diseases.
• Description:
  Updated June 18, 2020
  
  Interpretation of Cumulative Death Forecasts
  
  • This week CDC received 21 individual national forecasts.
  
  • This week’s national ensemble forecast suggests that there will likely be between 129,000 and 145,000 total reported COVID-19 deaths by July 11th.
  
  • The state-level ensemble forecasts suggest that the number of new deaths over the next four weeks in Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Hawaii, North Carolina, Oregon, South Carolina, and Utah will likely exceed the number reported over the last four weeks. For other states, the number of new deaths is expected to be similar or decrease slightly compared to the previous four weeks.
  
  
• Content Notes:
  National Forecast -- State Forecasts -- Modeling Groups.
• Subjects:
  Coronavirus Infections COVID-19 Forecasting Mortality Pandemics Public Health Surveillance
• Document Type:
  Webpage
• Genre:
  Statistics
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Collection(s):
  Stephen B. Thacker CDC Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:4df95312b4a44adaf9647ea8cb0e5d24f65d77a3d6027a1ddf65aa250abc0d6e
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/89494/cdc_89494_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 166.91 KB ]