Details:

Alternative Title:
Health Secur
Personal Author:
Bambery, Zoe ; Cassell, Cynthia H. ; Bunnell, Rebecca E. ; Roy, Kakoli ; Ahmed, Zara ; ... More +
Bambery, Zoe ; Cassell, Cynthia H. ; Bunnell, Rebecca E. ; Roy, Kakoli ; Ahmed, Zara ; Payne, Rebecca L. ; Meltzer, Martin I. Less -
Description:
We estimated the impact on the US export economy of an illustrative infectious disease outbreak scenario in Southeast Asia that has 3 stages starting in 1 country and, if uncontained, spreads to 9 countries. We used 2014-2016 West Africa Ebola epidemic-related World Bank estimates of 3.3% and 16.1% reductions in gross domestic product (GDP). We also used US Department of Commerce job data to calculate export-related jobs at risk to any outbreak-related disruption in US exports. Assuming a direct correlation between GDP reductions and reduced demand for US exports, we estimated that the illustrative outbreak would cost from $16 million to $27 million (1 country) to $10 million to $18 billion (9 countries) and place 1,500 to almost 1.4 million export-related US jobs at risk. Our analysis illustrates how global health security is enhanced, and the US economy is protected, when public health threats are rapidly detected and contained at their source.
Subject:
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Economics
Exports
Global Health Security
Jobs
Original Articles
Outbreaks

Source:
Health Secur. 2018; 16(1):1-7.
Pubmed ID:
29405775
Pubmed Central ID:
PMC5815448
Document Type:
Journal Article
Collection(s):
CDC Public Access
Main Document Checksum:
[+]
urn:sha256:4c0dc8352a6742fbf45788df81c6d52c601c2ac5b159b0c4fe7eecd52cb2ca12
File Type:

Supporting Files

• 	fig-1.gif	gif
  	fig-1.jpg	jpeg
  	fig-2.gif	gif
  	fig-2.jpg	jpeg
  	hs.2017.0052.nxml	xml
  	Supp_App1.pdf	pdf
  	Supp_App2.pdf	pdf

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