Details:

Alternative Title:
Ann Epidemiol
Publisher's site:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.annepidem.2017.02.003
Personal Author:
Hess, Kristen L. ; Hu, Xiaohong ; Lansky, Amy ; Mermin, Jonathan ; Hall, H. Irene
Hess, Kristen L. ; Hu, Xiaohong ; Lansky, Amy ; Mermin, Jonathan ; Hall, H. Irene Less -
Description:
Purpose

To estimate lifetime risk of receiving an HIV diagnosis in the United States if existing infection rates continue.

Methods

We used mortality, census, and HIV surveillance data for 2010–2014 to calculate age-specific probabilities of an HIV diagnosis. The probabilities were applied to a hypothetical cohort of 10 million live births to estimate lifetime risk.

Results

Lifetime risk was 1 in 68 for males and 1 in 253 for females. Lifetime risk for men was 1 in 22 for blacks, 1 in 51 for Hispanic/Latinos, and 1 in 140 for whites; and for women was 1 in 54 for blacks, 1 in 256 for Hispanic/Latinas, and 1 in 941 for whites. By risk group, the highest risk was among men who have sex with men (1 in 6) and the lowest was among male heterosexuals (1 in 524). The majority of the states with the highest lifetime risk were in the south.

Conclusions

The estimates highlight different risks across populations and the need for continued improvements in prevention and treatment. They can also be used to communicate the risk of HIV infection and increase public awareness of HIV.


Subject:
[+]
Adult
Age Factors
Female
HIV Infections
Humans
Male
Middle Aged
Racial Groups
Risk Factors
Sex Factors
Sexual Behavior
Young Adult

Source:
Ann Epidemiol. 27(4):238-243.
Pubmed ID:
28325538
Pubmed Central ID:
PMC5524204
Document Type:
Journal Article
Funding:
CC999999/Intramural CDC HHS/United States
Place as Subject:
United States
Collection(s):
CDC Public Access
Main Document Checksum:
[+]
urn:sha256:296e447ffc7efc9c54f806f1535db9775730cf278db42b433da7072bd5327da5
File Type:

Supporting Files

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