Lifetime Risk of a Diagnosis of HIV Infection in the United States

Details

• Alternative Title:
  Ann Epidemiol
• Personal Author:
  Hess, Kristen L. ; Hu, Xiaohong ; Lansky, Amy ; Mermin, Jonathan ; Hall, H. Irene
• Description:
  Purpose
  
  To estimate lifetime risk of receiving an HIV diagnosis in the United States if existing infection rates continue.
  
  Methods
  
  We used mortality, census, and HIV surveillance data for 2010–2014 to calculate age-specific probabilities of an HIV diagnosis. The probabilities were applied to a hypothetical cohort of 10 million live births to estimate lifetime risk.
  
  Results
  
  Lifetime risk was 1 in 68 for males and 1 in 253 for females. Lifetime risk for men was 1 in 22 for blacks, 1 in 51 for Hispanic/Latinos, and 1 in 140 for whites; and for women was 1 in 54 for blacks, 1 in 256 for Hispanic/Latinas, and 1 in 941 for whites. By risk group, the highest risk was among men who have sex with men (1 in 6) and the lowest was among male heterosexuals (1 in 524). The majority of the states with the highest lifetime risk were in the south.
  
  Conclusions
  
  The estimates highlight different risks across populations and the need for continued improvements in prevention and treatment. They can also be used to communicate the risk of HIV infection and increase public awareness of HIV.
  
  
• Subjects:
  Adult Age Factors Female HIV Infections Humans Male Middle Aged Racial Groups Risk Factors Sex Factors Sexual Behavior Young Adult

  More +
• Source:
  Ann Epidemiol. 27(4):238-243.
• Pubmed ID:
  28325538
• Pubmed Central ID:
  PMC5524204
• Document Type:
  Journal Article
• Funding:
  CC999999/Intramural CDC HHS/United States
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Volume:
  27
• Issue:
  4
• Collection(s):
  CDC Public Access
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:296e447ffc7efc9c54f806f1535db9775730cf278db42b433da7072bd5327da5
• Download URL:
  https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/46891/cdc_46891_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 258.16 KB ]