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State-Level Projections of Cancer-Related Medical Care Costs: 2010 to 2020
  • Published Date:
    Sep 2012
  • Source:
    Am J Manag Care. 18(9):525-532.
Filetype[PDF - 694.89 KB]


Details:
  • Pubmed ID:
    23009303
  • Pubmed Central ID:
    PMC4748376
  • Description:
    Background

    As the population ages, the financial amount spent on cancer care is expected to increase substantially. In this study, we projected cancer-related medical costs by state from 2010 through 2020.

    Methods

    We used pooled Medical Expenditure Panel Survey data for 2004 to 2008 and US Census Bureau population projections to produce state-level estimates of the number of people treated for cancer and the average cost of their treatment, from a health system perspective, by age group (18-44, 45-64, ≥65 years) and sex. In the base model, we assumed that the percentage of people in each of the 6 age-by-sex categories who had been treated for cancer would remain constant and that the inflation-adjusted average cancer treatment cost per person would increase at the same rate as Congressional Budget Office projections of overall medical spending.

    Results

    We projected that state-level cancer-related medical costs would increase by 34% to 115% (median = 72%) and that state-level costs in 2020 would range from $347 million to $28.3 billion in 2010 dollars (median = $3.7 billion).

    Conclusions

    The number of people treated for cancer and the costs of their cancer-related medical care are projected to increase substantially for each state. Effective prevention and early detection strategies are needed to limit the growing burden of cancer.

  • Document Type:
  • Collection(s):
  • Funding:
    200-2008-27958/PHS HHS/United States
    CC999999/Intramural CDC HHS/United States
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